markmaybewrong

It Stinks by Tom

When the 2006 College Football Blogger Awards were first announced, we thought the concept was a great idea, given the multitude of excellent blogs that are deserving of recognition. We also thought that there as no way in hell that we were one of those.

However, as the nominations rolled out, we were surprise to discover that we were nominated for two awards:

The Dr. Z Award: For cogent, interesting analysis - Emphasis placed on statistical manipulation, well researched pieces that reveal something new, and/or solid argumentative pieces that function as the authoritative last word on a subject.
The Jay Sherman Award: For the blog best keeping tabs on the man and calling out all of the injustices in the college football world - Consistently ahead-of-the-curve on controversial issues in college football.

To even be nominated, was an honor for us.

So as the winners were announced, we were not the least bit surprised, nor disappointed, that we did not win The Dr. Z Award. To even be in the same category as the top-notch blogs such as MGoBlog (the winner), Sunday Morning Quarterback (the runner up), and the other nominees Blue-Gray Sky, Burnt Orange Nation, and DawgSports is an honor.

We always enjoy the work done by these bloggers: whether it be MGo's analysis of every play in Michigan's games, SMQ's Herculean breakdown of every team in their pre-season preview, BGS's consistently insightful and incredibly well-written pieces, BON's post after-our-own-hearts on the mysteries of the computer polls, or Dawg's in-depth commentary on nearly every topic from bowl previews to BlogPoll ballots (and the ubiquitous Kristin Davis pictures).

We are, however, very honored to receive The Jay Sherman Award for best critic. We always strive for excellence here at markmaybewrong, so receiving an award named after a legend in the field of criticizing who is known also for his ability to burp louder than anyone except Eudora Welty is truly flattering.

We are, of course, not entirely convinced that this shouldn't have won instead:

In all seriousness, thanks to all our readers, the bloggers who took the time to vote, and all those involved in putting together these awards. Our congratulations also to the other nominees: Wizard of Odds (runner up), Braves and Birds, and The Corperate Headquarters of the San Antonio Gunslingers, who are all just as deserving as us.

More Good News

Finally, another joyous announcement here at markmaybewrong as Dan and his wife welcomed their second child into their family last Friday with the birth of their daughter Eva Elizabeth. Mom and baby are home and doing just fine. We look forward to seeing them both at the tailgating fields next year.

Wednesday, February 07, 2007 | 9 comments |

We're Back!! by Tom

Sorry for the long layoff everyone. Final exams (grading, not taking), the holidays, and real-world commitments got in the way of our blogging the past couple of weeks.

We did not do a very good job keeping tabs on the “experts” bowl picks over the holidays as I lacked a TiVo while away. I will say this, the college bowl season was so much more enjoyable with my being able to hit the mute button every time Lee Corso, Mark May, or Craig James opened their mouths rather than having to sit there and listen to what they were saying. We do have plenty of season recaps in the wings though including the regular-season picks final standings, Heisman predictions revisited, pre-season polls, and national championship predictions (I’ll give you a hint, no one picked Florida)

We obviously never got up the bowl youmaybewrong contest running (sorry); however, one of our loyal readers did e-mail us his bowl picks. We have only one response for that:

Neeeeeeeeeeeeerrrrrrrrrrrrrrrd!!!!!!!!!!

Keep and eye out over the next couple of days for some new content.

Wednesday, January 10, 2007 | 24 comments |

Our Best Post Ever by Tom

We are very proud to present our exclusive "interview" with the members of the ABC studio crew -- Jon Saunders, Craig James, and Doug Flutie. We are such big fans, so we just know you will never tire of this exclusive interview.

Exclusive Interview with Jon Saunders, Craig James, and Doug Flutie

Saturday, December 02, 2006 | 11 comments |

youmaybewrong Week 14 Picks by Tom

Got this up late. You'll just have to trust me that we didn't change our picks after the MAC Championship game finished.

Speaking of which, that game, the Air Force/TCU game, and the SEC title game were all very competitive based on our readers' picks.

It looks like the contest might ride on the outcomes of the C-USA and the ACC title games. Contest leader "anohioirish" has Southern Miss and Georgia Tech while 2nd and 3rd place entrants "dls141" and "RodBeck" have Houston and Wake Forest.

Likewise for braggin rights here on the blog, Brian has Southern Miss and Wake Forest while I have Houston and Georgia Tech.

Brian	Dan	Tom	you
C. Michigan	Ohio	C. Michigan	Ohio (51%)
Southern Miss	Houston	Houston	Houston (66%)
TCU	TCU	TCU	TCU (55%)
Florida	Arkansas	Florida	Arkansas (51%)
Navy	Navy	Navy	Navy (98%)
Wake Forest	Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech (62%)
Oklahoma	Oklahoma	Oklahoma	Oklahoma (77%)
Hawaii	Hawaii	Hawaii	Hawaii (72%)
West Virginia	West Virginia	West Virginia	West Virginia (79%)
Southern Cal	Southern Cal	Southern Cal	Southern Cal (91%)

Update: Congratulations to "anohioirish" who despite going 5-5 this week, won the overall youmaybewrong contest with a .738 winning percentage, picking games in all but one week.

Brian went 7-3 this week, holding me at bay to take the bloggers bragging rights with a .714 winning percentage. He averaged 7.5 correct pick over the last four weeks to pass me, Dan, and "Kanka".

The best pickes this week were "CorsoForBestSupportingMale" and "Willy Mac (DFIG)" who both went 8-2.

Thanks for everyone who participated. We'll be using your picks to see exactly how the average joe college football fan compared to the "experts."

Also, as a special bonus for our regular pickers, we'll be extending the contest into the post-season with every bowl game being on the slate. Look for that in a couple of weeks.

Current Standings

Friday, December 01, 2006 | 18 comments |

the Conversation Week 13 by Dan

After getting back from my mini-vacation in LA over Thanksgiving, we dive back into the Conversation. It's been an interesting week with Texas, Boston College, West Virginia, and Georgia Tech all losing to sub-par competition. It was again fairly easy to determine the top two tiers with the only real debate being who belongs in Tier III. Let us know what you think.

Tier	Team	DI-A	BCS	.500+ BCS	DI-A		BCS		Top 40	KM	JS	DW
Tier	Team	Record		.500+ BCS	Opp. Record				CPU Rankings
I	Ohio St.	12-0	10-0	3-0	66-57	.537	39-46	.459	5-0	1	1	1
I	Still undoubtedly the best. Give me a minute…I feel a little nauseous after typing that.
	W 35-12 N. Illinois	6-5	0-2	0-1	50-65	.435	17-32	.347	0-1	78	81	83
	W 24-7 @ Texas	8-3	6-3	3-2	68-46	.596	41-32	.562	2-2	27	17	27
	W 37-7 Cincinnati	6-5	4-5	2-4	68-42	.618	46-30	.605	1-4	34	39	35
	W 28-6 Penn St.	7-4	5-4	1-4	66-51	.564	43-37	.538	1-4	21	22	16
	W 38-17 @ Iowa	5-6	4-6	1-3	62-52	.544	37-46	.446	0-4	47	46	47
	W 35-7 Bowling Green	4-8	0-2	0-2	50-76	.397	20-30	.400	0-2	107	136	107
	W 38-7 @ Michigan St.	4-8	2-8	0-5	63-62	.504	40-45	.471	0-5	74	71	74
	W 44-3 Indiana	5-6*	3-6	0-4	65-49	.570	38-41	.481	0-4	60	75	57
	W 44-0 Minnesota	5-6	3-6	0-6	69-46	.600	46-35	.568	0-5	39	36	36
	W 17-10 @ Illinois	1-10	1-9	0-5	65-48	.575	38-45	.458	0-4	94	101	96
	W 54-10 @ Northwestern	4-7*	2-6	0-6	60-56	.517	37-36	.507	0-4	77	88	79
	W 42-39 Michigan	11-1	9-1	3-1	77-47	.621	44-42	.512	4-1	4	3	2

Tier	Team	DI-A	BCS	.500+ BCS	DI-A		BCS		Top 40	KM	JS	DW
Tier	Team	Record		.500+ BCS	Opp. Record				CPU Rankings
II	Boise St.	11-0	1-0	4-0	53-57	.482	9-19	.321	2-0	8	10	5
II	The only remaining undefeated team still leaves something to be desired. A signature win would be nice.
	W 45-0 Sacramento St.	Not a DI-A Team
	W 42-14 Oregon St.	7-4	6-3	3-2	62-49	.559	41-42	.494	5-4	15	19	15
	W 17-10 @ Wyoming	6-6	0-2	0-2	55-66	.455	10-22	.313	0-2	75	77	76
	W 41-34 Hawaii	9-2	1-1	3-1	48-63	.432	11-23	.324	0-1	35	25	31
	W 36-3 @ Utah	6-5	0-1	1-1	53-57	.482	8-15	.348	0-3	66	56	67
	W 55-14 Louisiana Tech	2-9	0-3	0-7	60-53	.531	20-21	.488	0-5	105	147	105
	W 40-28 @ New Mexico St.	1-8	0-0	0-4	45-47	.489	4-12	.250	0-2	115	130	114
	W 42-26 @ Idaho	3-8	0-3	0-5	51-60	.459	17-27	.386	0-4	99	135	100
	W 45-21 Fresno St.	4-7	0-3	1-4	52-59	.468	19-23	.452	0-5	86	99	85
	W 23-20 @ San Jose St.	6-4	1-1	0-3	39-61	.390	7-25	.219	0-3	57	72	57
	W 49-10 Utah St.	1-11	0-1	0-5	64-56	.533	11-19	.367	0-4	114	166	114
	W 38-7 @ Nevada	8-4	1-1	1-3	47-70	.402	11-24	.314	0-3	52	50	55
	Florida	10-1	8-1	3-1	72-43	.626	42-36	.538	5-1	3	6	4
	Though the Gators' offence has been sputtering lately, so has their opposition.
	W 34-7 Southern Miss	7-4	1-2	1-3	54-59	.478	21-24	.467	0-2	48	57	49
	W 42-0 UCF	3-8	0-3	0-4	55-59	.482	21-28	.429	0-1	92	110	91
	W 21-20 @ Tennessee	9-3	6-3	2-3	70-51	.579	45-34	.570	4-3	12	9	10
	W 26-7 Kentucky	6-5	4-5	1-4	65-47	.580	39-41	.488	1-5	30	43	28
	W 28-13 Alabama	6-6	3-6	1-5	61-61	.500	35-47	.427	1-5	45	44	37
	W 23-10 LSU	10-2	7-2	2-2	71-52	.577	41-38	.519	4-2	5	4	6
	L 17-27 @ Auburn	10-2	7-2	2-2	69-56	.552	42-39	.519	4-2	7	12	8
	W 21-14 (ns) Georgia	7-4	6-4	2-2	58-55	.513	39-47	.453	3-3	23	30	20
	W 25-19 @ Vanderbilt	3-8	2-8	1-4	60-54	.526	41-47	.466	1-6	64	65	63
	W 17-16 South Carolina	6-5	4-5	1-5	69-44	.611	41-39	.513	2-5	26	24	24
	W 62-0 Western Carolina	Not a DI-A Team
	W 21-14 @ Florida St.	6-6	3-6	0-5	68-55	.553	36-43	.456	0-4	51	51	50
	Michigan	11-1	9-1	3-1	77-47	.621	44-42	.512	4-1	4	3	2
	The Wolverines are waiting for the BCS selection and rooting like hell for UCLA and Arkansas.
	W 27-7 Vanderbilt	3-8	2-8	1-4	60-54	.526	41-47	.466	1-6	64	65	63
	W 41-17 C. Michigan	8-4	0-3	0-2	57-69	.452	21-32	.396	0-3	59	67	62
	W 47-21 @ Notre Dame	10-2	7-2	4-2	67-54	.554	47-40	.540	3-2	10	11	9
	W 27-13 Wisconsin	10-1	7-1	2-1	52-60	.464	31-38	.449	2-1	13	15	11
	W 28-14 @ Minnesota	5-6	3-6	0-6	69-46	.600	46-35	.568	0-5	39	36	36
	W 31-13 Michigan St.	4-8	2-8	0-5	63-62	.504	40-45	.471	0-5	74	71	74
	W 17-10 @ Penn St.	7-4	5-4	1-4	66-51	.564	43-37	.538	1-4	21	22	16
	W 20-6 Iowa	5-6	4-6	1-3	62-52	.544	37-46	.446	0-4	47	46	47
	W 17-3 Northwestern	4-7*	2-6	0-6	60-56	.517	37-36	.507	0-4	77	88	79
	W 34-26 Ball St.	5-6*	0-3	0-2	53-63	.457	19-31	.380	0-1	90	98	92
	W 34-3 @ Indiana	5-6*	3-6	0-4	65-49	.570	38-41	.481	0-4	60	75	57
	L 39-42 @ Ohio St.	12-0	10-0	3-0	66-57	.537	39-46	.459	5-0	1	1	1
	Southern Cal	10-1	10-1	6-1	69-43	.616	55-40	.579	9-1	2	2	3
	A convincing win over Notre Dame adds another feather to Southern Cals' cap. If only they hadn't lost to Oregon St. . . .
	W 50-14 @ Arkansas	9-2	7-2	2-2	60-54	.526	40-39	.506	3-2	6	8	7
	W 28-10 Nebraska	8-3	6-3	2-2	58-51	.532	37-40	.481	1-2	33	29	33
	W 20-3 @ Arizona	5-6	4-6	2-4	68-45	.602	47-42	.528	4-6	22	37	22
	W 28-22 @ Washington St.	6-6	5-6	2-4	63-58	.521	49-48	.505	3-6	29	31	28
	W 26-20 Washington	5-7	3-7	1-6	67-53	.558	49-43	.533	3-6	38	40	37
	W 28-21 Arizona St.	6-5	5-5	1-4	58-54	.518	43-47	.478	3-5	24	27	24
	L 31-33 @ Oregon St.	7-4	6-3	3-2	62-49	.559	41-42	.494	5-4	15	19	15
	W 42-0 @ Stanford	1-10	1-8	0-7	64-47	.577	43-42	.506	1-8	70	100	69
	W 53-10 Oregon	6-5	5-5	2-3	62-50	.554	48-43	.527	4-5	19	21	18
	W 23-9 California	7-3	7-3	3-2	62-41	.602	48-40	.545	7-3	11	7	12
	W 44-24 Notre Dame	10-2	7-2	4-2	67-54	.554	47-40	.540	3-2	10	11	9

Tier	Team	DI-A	BCS	.500+ BCS	DI-A		BCS		Top 40	KM	JS	DW
Tier	Team	Record		.500+ BCS	Opp. Record				CPU Rankings
III	Arkansas	9-2	7-2	2-2	60-54	.526	40-39	.506	3-2	6	8	7
III	A loss to the Tigers bumps the Hogs to Tier III.
	L 14-50 Southern Cal	10-1	10-1	6-1	69-43	.616	55-40	.579	9-1	2	2	3
	W 20-0 Utah St.	1-11	0-1	0-5	64-56	.533	11-19	.367	0-4	114	166	114
	W 21-19 @ Vanderbilt	3-8	2-8	1-4	60-54	.526	41-47	.466	1-6	64	65	63
	W 24-23 Alabama	6-6	3-6	1-5	61-61	.500	35-47	.427	1-5	45	44	37
	W 27-10 @ Auburn	10-2	7-2	2-2	69-56	.552	42-39	.519	4-2	7	12	8
	W 63-7 SE Missouri St.	Not a DI-A Team
	W 38-3 Mississippi	3-8	2-8	0-6	62-51	.549	43-42	.506	0-6	65	76	61
	W 44-10 (ns) LA Monroe	2-8	0-4	0-1	42-60	.412	18-36	.333	0-2	109	133	112
	W 26-20 @ South Carolina	6-5	4-5	1-5	69-44	.611	41-39	.513	2-5	26	24	24
	W 31-14 Tennessee	9-3	6-3	2-3	70-51	.579	45-34	.570	4-3	12	9	10
	W 28-14 @ Mississippi St.	2-9	1-8	0-5	63-51	.553	38-39	.494	0-7	76	79	72
	L 26-31 (ns) LSU	10-2	7-2	2-2	71-52	.577	41-38	.519	4-2	5	4	6
	Auburn	10-2	7-2	2-2	69-56	.552	42-39	.519	4-2	7	12	8
	A win against the Crimson Tide keeps Auburn in the Conversation. The loss to Arkansas keeps them out of the SEC championship game.
	W 40-14 Washington St.	6-6	5-6	2-4	63-58	.521	49-48	.505	3-6	29	31	28
	W 34-0 @ Mississippi St.	2-9	1-8	0-5	63-51	.553	38-39	.494	0-7	76	79	72
	W 7-3 LSU	10-2	7-2	2-2	71-52	.577	41-38	.519	4-2	5	4	6
	W 38-7 Buffalo	2-9	0-3	0-3	62-54	.534	21-27	.438	0-3	113	150	113
	W 24-17 @ South Carolina	6-5	4-5	1-5	69-44	.611	41-39	.513	2-5	26	24	24
	L 10-27 Arkansas	9-2	7-2	2-2	60-54	.526	40-39	.506	3-2	6	8	7
	W 27-17 Florida	10-1	8-1	3-1	72-43	.626	42-36	.538	5-1	3	6	4
	W 38-13 Tulane	4-8	1-2	0-3	62-61	.504	18-29	.383	0-2	87	114	87
	W 23-17 @ Mississippi	3-8	2-8	0-6	62-51	.549	43-42	.506	0-6	65	76	61
	W 27-0 Arkansas St.	6-6	0-2	0-1	42-76	.356	11-35	.239	0-1	93	119	94
	L 15-37 Georgia	7-4	6-4	2-2	58-55	.513	39-47	.453	3-3	23	30	20
	W 22-15 @ Alabama	6-6	3-6	1-5	61-61	.500	35-47	.427	1-5	45	44	37
	Hawaii	9-2	1-1	3-1	48-63	.432	11-23	.324	0-1	35	25	31
	Hawaii has shown themselves to be a resilient non-BCS team worthy of mention. We can't fault them too much for losing at both Alabama and Boise St. by relatively close margins. The win against Purdue is impressive.
	L 17-25 @ Alabama	6-6	3-6	1-5	61-61	.500	35-47	.427	1-5	45	44	37
	W 42-13 UNLV	1-10	0-1	0-3	55-55	.500	6-19	.240	0-2	108	125	108
	L 34-41 @ Boise St.	11-0	1-0	4-0	53-57	.482	9-19	.321	2-0	8	10	5
	W 44-9 E. Illinois	Not a DI-A Team
	W 41-34 Nevada	8-4	1-1	1-3	47-70	.402	11-24	.314	0-3	52	50	55
	W 68-37 @ Fresno St.	4-7	0-3	1-4	52-59	.468	19-23	.452	0-5	86	99	85
	W 49-30 @ New Mexico St.	1-8	0-0	0-4	45-47	.489	4-12	.250	0-2	115	130	114
	W 68-10 Idaho	3-8	0-3	0-5	51-60	.459	17-27	.386	0-4	99	135	100
	W 63-10 @ Utah St.	1-11	0-1	0-5	64-56	.533	11-19	.367	0-4	114	166	114
	W 61-17 Louisiana Tech	2-9	0-3	0-7	60-53	.531	20-21	.488	0-5	105	147	105
	W 54-17 San Jose St.	6-4	1-1	0-3	39-61	.390	7-25	.219	0-3	57	72	57
	W 42-35 Purdue	7-5	5-4	0-4	61-61	.500	30-49	.380	1-4	44	52	44
	Louisville	10-1	8-1	2-1	62-48	.564	37-41	.474	3-1	9	5	13
	West Virginia's loss to South Florida further degrades Louisville's SOS leaving them in Tier III.
	W 59-28 Kentucky	6-5	4-5	1-4	65-47	.580	39-41	.488	1-5	30	43	28
	W 62-0 @ Temple	1-11	0-5	0-4	63-61	.508	27-39	.409	0-4	116	165	116
	W 31-7 Miami (FL)	5-6	3-6	2-4	57-55	.509	36-43	.456	1-3	58	59	56
	W 24-6 @ Kansas St.	6-5	4-5	1-3	54-56	.491	33-44	.429	1-2	50	54	51
	W 44-17 (ns) Middle Tenn St.	6-5	0-4	0-3	53-57	.482	25-32	.439	0-3	72	78	71
	W 23-17 Cincinnati	6-5	4-5	2-4	68-42	.618	46-30	.605	1-4	34	39	35
	W 28-13 @ Syracuse	4-8	2-8	0-5	62-56	.525	41-44	.482	0-5	69	68	68
	W 44-34 West Virginia	8-2	6-2	2-2	53-48	.525	30-38	.441	1-1	18	14	20
	L 25-28 @ Rutgers	9-1	7-1	3-0	52-47	.525	30-43	.411	1-1	14	13	14
	W 31-8 South Florida	7-4	5-4	1-2	51-57	.472	34-43	.442	1-3	41	41	43
	W 48-24 @ Pittsburgh	5-6	3-6	0-4	57-53	.518	35-40	.467	1-3	54	47	52
	LSU	10-2	7-2	2-2	71-52	.577	41-38	.519	4-2	5	4	6
	A solid win against Arkansas means absolutely nothing for the SEC's automatic BCS bowl bid. It is a good thing we are keeping the BCS system because these regular season games wouldn't be nearly as important with a playoff system.
	W 45-3 LA Lafayette	5-5	0-2	1-2	46-57	.447	13-26	.333	0-2	88	118	89
	W 45-3 Arizona	5-6	4-6	2-4	68-45	.602	47-42	.528	4-6	22	37	22
	L 3-7 @ Auburn	10-2	7-2	2-2	69-56	.552	42-39	.519	4-2	7	12	8
	W 49-7 Tulane	4-8	1-2	0-3	62-61	.504	18-29	.383	0-2	87	114	87
	W 48-17 Mississippi St.	2-9	1-8	0-5	63-51	.553	38-39	.494	0-7	76	79	72
	L 10-23 @ Florida	10-1	8-1	3-1	72-43	.626	42-36	.538	5-1	3	6	4
	W 49-0 Kentucky	6-5	4-5	1-4	65-47	.580	39-41	.488	1-5	30	43	28
	W 38-6 Fresno St.	4-7	0-3	1-4	52-59	.468	19-23	.452	0-5	86	99	85
	W 28-24 @ Tennessee	9-3	6-3	2-3	70-51	.579	45-34	.570	4-3	12	9	10
	W 28-14 Alabama	6-6	3-6	1-5	61-61	.500	35-47	.427	1-5	45	44	37
	W 23-20 Mississippi	3-8	2-8	0-6	62-51	.549	43-42	.506	0-6	65	76	61
	W 31-26 (ns) Arkansas	9-2	7-2	2-2	60-54	.526	40-39	.506	3-2	6	8	7
	Notre Dame	10-2	7-2	4-2	67-54	.554	47-40	.540	3-2	10	11	9
	Another crushing loss to a solid Tier II team. The Irish have a weaker SOS with both Purdue and Georgia Tech losing, but remain in the Conversation with a solid record of 4-2 against 0.500+ BCS teams.
	W 14-10 @ Georgia Tech	8-3	7-3	2-3	57-55	.509	38-47	.447	1-3	28	33	30
	W 41-17 Penn St.	7-4	5-4	1-4	66-51	.564	43-37	.538	1-4	21	22	16
	L 21-47 Michigan	11-1	9-1	3-1	77-47	.621	44-42	.512	4-1	4	3	2
	W 40-37 @ Michigan St.	4-8	2-8	0-5	63-62	.504	40-45	.471	0-5	74	71	74
	W 35-21 Purdue	7-5	5-4	0-4	61-61	.500	30-49	.380	1-4	44	52	44
	W 31-10 Stanford	1-10	1-8	0-7	64-47	.577	43-42	.506	1-8	70	100	69
	W 20-17 UCLA	6-5	4-5	2-3	61-52	.540	38-43	.469	3-5	25	23	26
	W 38-14 @ Navy	7-3	3-2	1-2	40-62	.392	19-37	.339	0-2	42	42	41
	W 45-26 North Carolina	2-9	2-9	0-7	63-49	.563	47-43	.522	0-6	82	103	83
	W 39-17 @ Air Force	4-7	0-2	0-3	55-55	.500	18-18	.500	0-3	91	83	87
	W 41-9 Army	2-8	1-3	0-3	51-52	.495	20-28	.417	0-2	104	121	104
	L 24-44 @ Southern Cal	10-1	10-1	6-1	69-43	.616	55-40	.579	9-1	2	2	3
	Oklahoma	10-2	8-2	3-2	60-62	.492	35-50	.412	2-2	17	16	18
	The Sooners continue to win and have a date with Nebraska for the Big 12 championship title.
	W 24-17 UAB	3-9	0-3	1-2	54-69	.439	18-33	.353	0-2	103	113	103
	W 27-20 Washington	5-7	3-7	1-6	67-53	.558	49-43	.533	3-6	38	40	37
	L 33-34 @ Oregon	6-5	5-5	2-3	62-50	.554	48-43	.527	4-5	19	21	18
	W 59-0 Middle Tenn St.	6-5	0-4	0-3	53-57	.482	25-32	.439	0-3	72	78	71
	L 10-28 (ns) Texas	8-3	6-3	3-2	68-46	.596	41-32	.562	2-2	27	17	27
	W 34-9 Iowa St.	3-8	1-8	1-4	54-57	.486	36-40	.474	0-3	84	95	82
	W 24-3 Colorado	2-9*	2-8	1-5	55-55	.500	38-44	.463	0-4	98	97	98
	W 26-10 @ Missouri	7-4	5-4	1-3	61-50	.550	33-42	.440	0-3	46	38	45
	W 17-16 @ Texas A&M	8-3	5-3	2-3	58-51	.532	37-32	.536	1-2	37	34	40
	W 34-24 Texas Tech	6-5	4-4	1-4	59-52	.532	30-35	.462	1-2	53	45	52
	W 36-10 @ Baylor	3-8	3-6	0-5	58-52	.527	36-41	.468	0-4	80	82	77
	W 27-21 @ Oklahoma St.	5-6	3-5	1-5	66-46	.589	35-33	.515	1-3	61	49	60
	Virginia Tech	9-2	7-2	2-2	62-51	.549	38-42	.475	3-2	16	18	17
	The most impressive ACC team is not in the conference title game.
	W 38-0 Northeastern	Not a DI-A Team
	W 35-10 @ North Carolina	2-9	2-9	0-7	63-49	.563	47-43	.522	0-6	82	103	83
	W 36-0 Duke	0-11*	0-10	0-5	57-55	.509	37-52	.416	0-4	118	154	118
	W 29-13 Cincinnati	6-5	4-5	2-4	68-42	.618	46-30	.605	1-4	34	39	35
	L 27-38 Georgia Tech	8-3	7-3	2-3	57-55	.509	38-47	.447	1-3	28	33	30
	L 3-22 @ Boston College	8-3	5-3	3-1	63-51	.553	31-40	.437	3-1	32	28	32
	W 36-6 Southern Miss	7-4	1-2	1-3	54-59	.478	21-24	.467	0-2	48	57	49
	W 24-7 Clemson	8-4	5-4	2-3	60-62	.492	40-44	.476	2-3	36	26	39
	W 17-10 @ Miami (FL)	5-6	3-6	2-4	57-55	.509	36-43	.456	1-3	58	59	56
	W 23-0 Kent St.	6-6	0-2	0-1	41-82	.333	14-36	.280	0-2	100	115	98
	W 27-6 @ Wake Forest	9-2	9-2	2-2	50-62	.446	33-57	.367	1-2	20	32	23
	W 17-0 Virginia	5-7	4-5	0-4	58-66	.468	28-52	.350	0-2	71	74	72
	Wisconsin	10-1	7-1	2-1	52-60	.464	31-38	.449	2-1	13	15	11
	You can badger us all you want, but you're still not getting into Tier II without a marquee win.
	W 35-14 (ns) Bowling Green	4-8	0-2	0-2	50-76	.397	20-30	.400	0-2	107	136	107
	W 34-10 Western Illinois	Not a DI-A Team
	W 14-0 San Diego St.	2-8*	0-1	0-3	54-47	.535	10-12	.455	0-2	106	127	106
	L 13-27 @ Michigan	11-1	9-1	3-1	77-47	.621	44-42	.512	4-1	4	3	2
	W 52-17 @ Indiana	5-6*	3-6	0-4	65-49	.570	38-41	.481	0-4	60	75	57
	W 41-9 Northwestern	4-7*	2-6	0-6	60-56	.517	37-36	.507	0-4	77	88	79
	W 48-12 Minnesota	5-6	3-6	0-6	69-46	.600	46-35	.568	0-5	39	36	36
	W 24-3 @ Purdue	7-5	5-4	0-4	61-61	.500	30-49	.380	1-4	44	52	44
	W 30-24 Illinois	1-10	1-9	0-5	65-48	.575	38-45	.458	0-4	94	101	96
	W 13-3 Penn St.	7-4	5-4	1-4	66-51	.564	43-37	.538	1-4	21	22	16
	W 24-21 @ Iowa	5-6	4-6	1-3	62-52	.544	37-46	.446	0-4	47	46	47
	W 35-3 Buffalo	2-9	0-3	0-3	62-54	.534	21-27	.438	0-3	113	150	113

Dropped teams:

Boston College- The Canes sucks this year. Apparently, so do the Eagles.
Georgia Tech - The stars are aligning for another three loss ACC champ as I predicted earlier in the season.
Texas - College football's most overrated team losses again and still ends up getting ranked seven spots higher than the team that just beat them (Harris and Coaches Poll).

Further, attrition is promised next week as the conference title games kickoff along with a few rivalry games. We will release our final regular season Conversation piece next week.

Thursday, November 30, 2006 | 14 comments |

youmaybewrong Week 13 Picks by Tom

A pretty straight foward week with only two competive games in the opinion of our readers. LSU narrowly edges out Arkansas with 55% of the picks. Likewise, just a little more than half of our readers (52%) pick Middle Tenneessee St. to defeat Troy and claim the Sun Belt Conference crown. The final "suprise" is that 72% our readers pick the Irish to upset the Trojans.

In demonstrating that blood is not thicker than water, Brian went against the Irish and the Yellow Jackets, perhaps in an attempt to take over the blogger lead. Dan and I are identical, so there is not ground to be made up there.

Enjoy sitting on your stuffed, fat ass today and watching college football (as I will do), and be sure to check back after the games for the results.

Brian	Dan	Tom	you
LSU	LSU	LSU	LSU (56%)
Texas	Texas	Texas	Texas (90%)
Florida	Florida	Florida	Florida (84%)
Georgia	Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech	Georgia Tech (75%)
Mid. Tenn. St.	Mid. Tenn. St.	Mid. Tenn. St.	Mid. Tenn. St. (51%)
Wake Forest	Wake Forest	Wake Forest	Wake Forest (66%)
Boise St.	Boise St.	Boise St.	Boise St. (87%)
Louisville	Louisville	Louisville	Louisville (95%)
Southern Cal	Notre Dame	Notre Dame	Notre Dame (70%)
BYU	BYU	BYU	BYU (95%)

Update: Ok, done sulking . . . because I am, that's why.

Best pickers this week were "BDT" and "WacArnold's" at 9-1. "anohioirish" retook the overall lead going 7-3.

Among us here at markmaybewrong, Brian had a bang up week and passed up Dan and I. He is now up by one game for the blogger lead.

Contest closes Thursday at 5:00 pm ET for the MAC Championship Game.

Current Standings

Friday, November 24, 2006 | 17 comments |

the Conversation Week 12 by Tom

The holidays have screwed up our schedules, so their won't be a Suck-O-Meter post this week. It will return in all its glory next week. Here is the belated Converstation post.

The top tiers pretty much wrote themselves. The only debate came in Tier III was we wondered what exactly "warrenting some discussion" means. After a few trips around the circular logic carousel, here is what we came up with. (remember, this is based on the results through last week)

Tier	Team	DI-A	BCS	.500+ BCS	DI-A		BCS		Top 40	KM	JS	DW
Tier	Team	Record		.500+ BCS	Opp. Record				CPU Rankings
I	Ohio St.	12-0	10-0	3-0	64-55	.538	38-45	.458	5-0	1	1	1
I	No doubt about this one. Can they just decline all the bowl invitations?
	W 35-12 N. Illinois	5-5	0-2	0-1	44-53	.454	17-30	.362	0-1	82	84	84
	W 24-7 @ Texas	8-2	6-2	3-1	58-41	.586	35-28	.556	2-1	21	9	20
	W 37-7 Cincinnati	5-5	3-5	2-4	61-31	.663	40-22	.645	1-4	32	36	33
	W 28-6 Penn St.	7-4	5-4	1-4	66-48	.579	43-36	.544	2-4	20	23	17
	W 38-17 @ Iowa	5-6	4-6	1-3	61-50	.550	37-45	.451	1-4	45	42	45
	W 35-7 Bowling Green	4-7	0-2	0-2	45-63	.417	19-28	.404	0-2	107	129	107
	W 38-7 @ Michigan St.	4-8	2-8	0-5	63-57	.525	40-43	.482	0-6	70	70	71
	W 44-3 Indiana	5-6*	3-6	0-4	63-47	.573	38-40	.487	0-5	55	77	55
	W 44-0 Minnesota	5-6	3-6	0-6	69-44	.611	46-35	.568	0-6	36	33	33
	W 17-10 @ Illinois	1-10	1-9	0-5	63-46	.578	37-44	.457	0-5	94	99	95
	W 54-10 @ Northwestern	4-7*	2-6	0-6	60-52	.536	37-36	.507	0-5	77	85	79
	W 42-39 Michigan	11-1	9-1	3-1	75-46	.620	44-41	.518	4-1	2	3	2

Tier	Team	DI-A	BCS	.500+ BCS	DI-A		BCS		Top 40	KM	JS	DW
Tier	Team	Record		.500+ BCS	Opp. Record				CPU Rankings
II	Arkansas	9-1	7-1	2-1	46-50	.479	30-36	.455	3-1	5	11	5
II	10-0 since their opening night disaster means Arkansas is solidly in Tier II.
	L 14-50 Southern Cal	9-1	9-1	4-1	56-39	.589	45-36	.556	8-1	3	2	3
	W 20-0 Utah St.	1-10	0-1	0-4	59-43	.578	10-18	.357	0-3	109	155	109
	W 21-19 @ Vanderbilt	3-8	2-8	1-5	55-51	.519	36-44	.450	1-6	71	76	74
	W 24-23 Alabama	6-6	3-6	0-5	55-57	.491	30-44	.405	0-5	47	52	42
	W 27-10 @ Auburn	10-2	7-2	2-2	64-51	.557	37-37	.500	4-2	9	17	9
	W 63-7 SE Missouri St.	Not a DI-A Team
	W 38-3 Mississippi	2-8	1-8	0-7	55-41	.573	38-33	.535	0-6	80	90	78
	W 44-10 (ns) LA Monroe	1-8	0-4	0-3	37-46	.446	18-32	.360	0-2	115	146	114
	W 26-20 @ South Carolina	5-5	3-5	1-5	57-37	.606	33-33	.500	1-5	33	32	31
	W 31-14 Tennessee	8-3	5-3	2-3	59-44	.573	37-29	.561	3-3	15	12	14
	W 28-14 @ Mississippi St.	2-8	1-7	0-6	58-38	.604	34-28	.548	0-7	72	82	70
	Boise St.	10-0	1-0	2-0	40-50	.444	6-18	.250	1-0	12	14	7
	Doesn't matter which conference you are in. If you are perfect at this point in the season, you are a pretty impressive team.
	W 45-0 Sacramento St.	Not a DI-A Team
	W 42-14 Oregon St.	6-4	5-3	1-2	53-43	.552	34-37	.479	4-4	19	24	20
	W 17-10 @ Wyoming	6-6	0-2	0-2	50-59	.459	10-20	.333	0-2	75	81	77
	W 41-34 Hawaii	8-2	0-1	2-1	36-55	.396	6-19	.240	0-1	41	28	41
	W 36-3 @ Utah	6-4	0-1	1-1	40-51	.440	8-13	.381	0-2	62	53	63
	W 55-14 Louisiana Tech	2-8	0-3	0-6	52-41	.559	17-17	.500	0-3	104	141	103
	W 40-28 @ New Mexico St.	0-8	0-0	0-3	39-34	.534	3-11	.214	0-1	116	139	117
	W 42-26 @ Idaho	3-7	0-3	0-3	41-53	.436	14-26	.350	0-3	97	132	97
	W 45-21 Fresno St.	3-7	0-3	1-3	46-46	.500	17-19	.472	0-4	93	104	93
	W 23-20 @ San Jose St.	5-4	1-1	0-2	33-50	.398	6-22	.214	0-2	64	69	65
	W 49-10 Utah St.	1-10	0-1	0-4	59-43	.578	10-18	.357	0-3	109	155	109
	Florida	9-1	7-1	4-1	60-37	.619	35-30	.538	5-1	4	5	6
	I don't think their 62 point victory impressed anyone, and despite their close wins, they did win, and that is all that matters in the Conversation.
	W 34-7 Southern Miss	6-4	1-2	1-3	44-50	.468	18-21	.462	0-2	51	59	49
	W 42-0 UCF	2-8	0-3	0-4	46-48	.489	18-24	.429	0-1	99	116	97
	W 21-20 @ Tennessee	8-3	5-3	2-3	59-44	.573	37-29	.561	3-3	15	12	14
	W 26-7 Kentucky	6-4	4-4	1-3	49-43	.533	28-37	.431	1-4	30	51	29
	W 28-13 Alabama	6-6	3-6	0-5	55-57	.491	30-44	.405	0-5	47	52	42
	W 23-10 LSU	9-2	6-2	2-2	57-47	.548	31-34	.477	3-2	11	8	11
	L 17-27 @ Auburn	10-2	7-2	2-2	64-51	.557	37-37	.500	4-2	9	17	9
	W 21-14 (ns) Georgia	6-4	5-4	1-3	46-49	.484	28-42	.400	2-3	37	35	33
	W 25-19 @ Vanderbilt	3-8	2-8	1-5	55-51	.519	36-44	.450	1-6	71	76	74
	W 17-16 South Carolina	5-5	3-5	1-5	57-37	.606	33-33	.500	1-5	33	32	31
	W 62-0 Western Carolina	Not a DI-A Team
	Michigan	11-1	9-1	3-1	75-46	.620	44-41	.518	4-1	2	3	2
	A three-point loss to the best team in the country doesn't drop you much, but is does drop you into Tier II.
	W 27-7 Vanderbilt	3-8	2-8	1-5	55-51	.519	36-44	.450	1-6	71	76	74
	W 41-17 C. Michigan	7-4	0-3	0-3	51-56	.477	21-27	.438	0-3	54	65	55
	W 47-21 @ Notre Dame	10-1	7-1	4-1	57-50	.533	37-38	.493	5-1	6	10	4
	W 27-13 Wisconsin	10-1	7-1	2-1	52-56	.481	31-38	.449	3-1	8	13	8
	W 28-14 @ Minnesota	5-6	3-6	0-6	69-44	.611	46-35	.568	0-6	36	33	33
	W 31-13 Michigan St.	4-8	2-8	0-5	63-57	.525	40-43	.482	0-6	70	70	71
	W 17-10 @ Penn St.	7-4	5-4	1-4	66-48	.579	43-36	.544	2-4	20	23	17
	W 20-6 Iowa	5-6	4-6	1-3	61-50	.550	37-45	.451	1-4	45	42	45
	W 17-3 Northwestern	4-7*	2-6	0-6	60-52	.536	37-36	.507	0-5	77	85	79
	W 34-26 Ball St.	4-6*	0-3	0-2	43-54	.443	19-29	.396	0-2	95	100	96
	W 34-3 @ Indiana	5-6*	3-6	0-4	63-47	.573	38-40	.487	0-5	55	77	55
	L 39-42 @ Ohio St.	12-0	10-0	3-0	64-55	.538	38-45	.458	5-0	1	1	1
	Notre Dame	10-1	7-1	4-1	57-50	.533	37-38	.493	5-1	6	10	4
	Perfect since the Michigan loss, now comes the game everyone has been waiting for.
	W 14-10 @ Georgia Tech	8-2	7-2	2-2	47-45	.511	30-38	.441	2-2	17	26	19
	W 41-17 Penn St.	7-4	5-4	1-4	66-48	.579	43-36	.544	2-4	20	23	17
	L 21-47 Michigan	11-1	9-1	3-1	75-46	.620	44-41	.518	4-1	2	3	2
	W 40-37 @ Michigan St.	4-8	2-8	0-5	63-57	.525	40-43	.482	0-6	70	70	71
	W 35-21 Purdue	7-4	5-4	0-3	52-57	.477	30-47	.390	1-3	38	47	38
	W 31-10 Stanford	1-10	1-8	0-6	60-44	.577	40-39	.506	1-9	76	103	73
	W 20-17 UCLA	6-5	4-5	1-3	58-48	.547	36-40	.474	3-5	28	25	28
	W 38-14 @ Navy	7-3	3-2	1-2	37-57	.394	17-34	.333	0-2	39	38	38
	W 45-26 North Carolina	1-9	1-9	0-7	58-34	.630	42-30	.583	0-6	81	101	81
	W 39-17 @ Air Force	4-6	0-2	0-3	52-41	.559	17-16	.515	0-4	78	67	75
	W 41-9 Army	2-8	1-3	0-3	48-46	.511	19-26	.422	0-1	105	122	102
	Southern Cal	9-1	9-1	4-1	56-39	.589	45-36	.556	8-1	3	2	3
	Beating a solid Cal team makes Southern Cal's resume all the more impressive; however, it does not erase that loss to a 6-4 team.
	W 50-14 @ Arkansas	9-1	7-1	2-1	46-50	.479	30-36	.455	3-1	5	11	5
	W 28-10 Nebraska	7-3	5-3	3-2	52-39	.571	32-30	.516	0-2	34	27	37
	W 20-3 @ Arizona	5-5	4-5	2-3	59-39	.602	40-36	.526	4-5	26	30	24
	W 28-22 @ Washington St.	6-6	5-6	2-3	60-55	.522	46-46	.500	3-6	31	31	29
	W 26-20 Washington	5-7	3-7	1-5	61-51	.545	45-41	.523	3-6	40	45	40
	W 28-21 Arizona St.	5-5	4-5	1-4	51-46	.526	37-40	.481	2-5	35	34	33
	L 31-33 @ Oregon St.	6-4	5-3	1-2	53-43	.552	34-37	.479	4-4	19	24	20
	W 42-0 @ Stanford	1-10	1-8	0-6	60-44	.577	40-39	.506	1-9	76	103	73
	W 53-10 Oregon	6-4	5-4	1-2	52-45	.536	40-39	.506	4-4	24	22	22
	W 23-9 California	7-3	7-3	2-2	58-39	.598	44-38	.537	7-3	13	6	12

Tier	Team	DI-A	BCS	.500+ BCS	DI-A		BCS		Top 40	KM	JS	DW
Tier	Team	Record		.500+ BCS	Opp. Record				CPU Rankings
III	Auburn	10-2	7-2	2-2	64-51	.557	37-37	.500	4-2	9	17	9
III	The Iron Bowl victory was a must to keep Auburn in the Conversation, but it not enough to make up for the Georgia blowout loss.
	W 40-14 Washington St.	6-6	5-6	2-3	60-55	.522	46-46	.500	3-6	31	31	29
	W 34-0 @ Mississippi St.	2-8	1-7	0-6	58-38	.604	34-28	.548	0-7	72	82	70
	W 7-3 LSU	9-2	6-2	2-2	57-47	.548	31-34	.477	3-2	11	8	11
	W 38-7 Buffalo	2-8	0-3	0-3	52-46	.531	21-23	.477	0-3	111	145	111
	W 24-17 @ South Carolina	5-5	3-5	1-5	57-37	.606	33-33	.500	1-5	33	32	31
	L 10-27 Arkansas	9-1	7-1	2-1	46-50	.479	30-36	.455	3-1	5	11	5
	W 27-17 Florida	9-1	7-1	4-1	60-37	.619	35-30	.538	5-1	4	5	6
	W 38-13 Tulane	4-7	1-2	0-3	52-53	.495	17-28	.378	0-2	83	110	83
	W 23-17 @ Mississippi	2-8	1-8	0-7	55-41	.573	38-33	.535	0-6	80	90	78
	W 27-0 Arkansas St.	6-5	0-2	0-1	34-66	.340	11-32	.256	0-1	92	115	92
	L 15-37 Georgia	6-4	5-4	1-3	46-49	.484	28-42	.400	2-3	37	35	33
	W 22-15 @ Alabama	6-6	3-6	0-5	55-57	.491	30-44	.405	0-5	47	52	42
	Boston College	8-2	5-2	3-1	55-39	.585	27-30	.474	4-1	18	18	17
	A lot of debate about BC. How much does that 2-point loss against 2-8 NC State count against the eagles? In the end, wins over Clemson, BYU, VA Tech, and Maryland and their .585 opponents' winning percentage makes the Eagles worthy of mention.
	W 31-24 @ C. Michigan	7-4	0-3	0-3	51-56	.477	21-27	.438	0-3	54	65	55
	W 34-33 Clemson	8-3	5-3	2-3	51-51	.500	34-35	.493	2-3	25	19	26
	W 30-23 BYU	9-2	0-2	1-1	45-54	.455	12-15	.444	0-2	29	21	32
	L 15-17 @ NC State	2-8	2-6	1-4	54-40	.574	32-32	.500	1-4	73	75	69
	W 22-0 Maine	Not a DI-A Team
	W 22-3 Virginia Tech	8-2	6-2	2-2	52-40	.565	30-34	.469	3-2	16	15	16
	W 24-19 @ Florida St.	6-5	3-5	0-4	54-48	.529	27-37	.422	0-4	46	48	47
	W 41-0 Buffalo	2-8	0-3	0-3	52-46	.531	21-23	.477	0-3	111	145	111
	L 14-21 @ Wake Forest	8-2	8-2	1-2	40-52	.435	25-48	.342	1-2	22	29	24
	W 28-7 Duke	0-10*	0-9	0-5	53-42	.558	33-39	.458	0-5	113	156	118
	W 38-16 Maryland	7-3	5-3	1-3	52-40	.565	31-30	.508	1-3	27	37	27
	Georgia Tech	8-2	7-2	2-2	47-45	.511	30-38	.441	2-2	17	26	19
	Another debatable team, losses to only 10-1 ND and 8-3 Clemson are made up for by their impressive victory over VA Tech and their win over Maryland.
	L 10-14 Notre Dame	10-1	7-1	4-1	57-50	.533	37-38	.493	5-1	6	10	4
	W 38-6 Samford	Not a DI-A Team
	W 35-20 Troy	4-5	0-3	0-2	36-47	.434	15-26	.366	0-2	91	113	91
	W 24-7 Virginia	5-6	4-4	0-3	46-58	.442	19-45	.297	0-2	67	80	68
	W 38-27 @ Virginia Tech	8-2	6-2	2-2	52-40	.565	30-34	.469	3-2	16	15	16
	W 27-23 Maryland	7-3	5-3	1-3	52-40	.565	31-30	.508	1-3	27	37	27
	L 7-31 @ Clemson	8-3	5-3	2-3	51-51	.500	34-35	.493	2-3	25	19	26
	W 30-23 Miami (FL)	4-6	2-6	1-4	46-47	.495	28-36	.438	0-4	69	63	66
	W 31-23 @ NC State	2-8	2-6	1-4	54-40	.574	32-32	.500	1-4	73	75	69
	W 7-0 @ North Carolina	1-9	1-9	0-7	58-34	.630	42-30	.583	0-6	81	101	81
	W 49-21 Duke	0-10*	0-9	0-5	53-42	.558	33-39	.458	0-5	113	156	118
	Louisville	9-1	7-1	3-1	53-39	.576	30-33	.476	3-1	7	4	9
	Their Rutgers' loss does look quite as good this week, but their Big East schedule has given them some tests in West Virginia and S. Florida that demonstrate just how talented this team is.
	W 59-28 Kentucky	6-4	4-4	1-3	49-43	.533	28-37	.431	1-4	30	51	29
	W 62-0 @ Temple	1-11	0-5	0-4	59-57	.509	26-38	.406	0-5	112	166	112
	W 31-7 Miami (FL)	4-6	2-6	1-4	46-47	.495	28-36	.438	0-4	69	63	66
	W 24-6 @ Kansas St.	6-5	4-5	1-4	50-51	.495	30-40	.429	1-2	49	56	52
	W 44-17 (ns) Middle Tenn St.	6-4	0-4	0-3	43-48	.473	22-28	.440	0-4	56	68	55
	W 23-17 Cincinnati	5-5	3-5	2-4	61-31	.663	40-22	.645	1-4	32	36	33
	W 28-13 @ Syracuse	4-7	2-7	0-4	50-51	.495	31-40	.437	0-4	66	66	67
	W 44-34 West Virginia	8-1	6-1	2-1	44-38	.537	23-29	.442	2-1	10	7	13
	L 25-28 @ Rutgers	8-1	6-1	3-0	43-38	.531	24-34	.414	2-1	14	16	14
	W 31-8 South Florida	6-4	4-4	0-3	38-51	.427	24-38	.387	0-3	44	50	43
	LSU	9-2	6-2	2-2	57-47	.548	31-34	.477	3-2	11	8	11
	With losses only to Conversation teams and wins over a whole slate of decent teams including Tennessee, LSU deserves mention.
	W 45-3 LA Lafayette	4-5	0-2	1-2	36-48	.429	11-24	.314	0-1	96	121	94
	W 45-3 Arizona	5-5	4-5	2-3	59-39	.602	40-36	.526	4-5	26	30	24
	L 3-7 @ Auburn	10-2	7-2	2-2	64-51	.557	37-37	.500	4-2	9	17	9
	W 49-7 Tulane	4-7	1-2	0-3	52-53	.495	17-28	.378	0-2	83	110	83
	W 48-17 Mississippi St.	2-8	1-7	0-6	58-38	.604	34-28	.548	0-7	72	82	70
	L 10-23 @ Florida	9-1	7-1	4-1	60-37	.619	35-30	.538	5-1	4	5	6
	W 49-0 Kentucky	6-4	4-4	1-3	49-43	.533	28-37	.431	1-4	30	51	29
	W 38-6 Fresno St.	3-7	0-3	1-3	46-46	.500	17-19	.472	0-4	93	104	93
	W 28-24 @ Tennessee	8-3	5-3	2-3	59-44	.573	37-29	.561	3-3	15	12	14
	W 28-14 Alabama	6-6	3-6	0-5	55-57	.491	30-44	.405	0-5	47	52	42
	W 23-20 Mississippi	2-8	1-8	0-7	55-41	.573	38-33	.535	0-6	80	90	78
	Oklahoma	9-2	7-2	3-2	53-52	.505	30-43	.411	1-2	23	20	23
	Another team with a whole bunch of decent wins. Their loss to Texas is acceptable and we have been trying not to hold the Oregon loss against them too much (although that is becoming more difficult as Oregon proved themselves to be worse and worse), so the Sooners are worthy of mention.
	W 24-17 UAB	3-8	0-3	1-2	45-57	.441	15-29	.341	0-2	101	112	100
	W 27-20 Washington	5-7	3-7	1-5	61-51	.545	45-41	.523	3-6	40	45	40
	L 33-34 @ Oregon	6-4	5-4	1-2	52-45	.536	40-39	.506	4-4	24	22	22
	W 59-0 Middle Tenn St.	6-4	0-4	0-3	43-48	.473	22-28	.440	0-4	56	68	55
	L 10-28 (ns) Texas	8-2	6-2	3-1	58-41	.586	35-28	.556	2-1	21	9	20
	W 34-9 Iowa St.	3-8	1-8	1-5	49-54	.476	33-37	.471	0-3	87	98	85
	W 24-3 Colorado	2-8*	2-7	1-4	44-50	.468	29-40	.420	0-3	102	105	104
	W 26-10 @ Missouri	6-4	4-4	1-3	50-44	.532	25-37	.403	0-2	48	44	48
	W 17-16 @ Texas A&M	7-3	4-3	2-3	46-46	.500	28-28	.500	0-2	42	41	43
	W 34-24 Texas Tech	6-5	4-4	1-4	55-47	.539	27-32	.458	0-2	53	43	53
	W 36-10 @ Baylor	3-8	3-6	1-5	55-48	.534	34-37	.479	0-3	84	86	82
	Texas	8-2	6-2	3-1	58-41	.586	35-28	.556	2-1	21	9	20
	The Kansas St. loss is bad, but their Oklahoma win is impressive and the Nebraska win, despite the close nature of the game, (as per the rules of the Conversation) was a win. Also, It is tough to hold the Ohio St. loss against them too much, so while we won't be seeing Texas in Tier II anytime soon, they do get some mention in Tier III.
	W 56-7 North Texas	3-8	0-1	0-1	41-58	.414	7-27	.206	0-1	108	142	108
	L 7-24 Ohio St.	12-0	10-0	3-0	64-55	.538	38-45	.458	5-0	1	1	1
	W 52-7 @ Rice	6-5	0-3	1-2	51-55	.481	17-26	.395	0-2	61	61	59
	W 37-14 Iowa St.	3-8	1-8	1-5	49-54	.476	33-37	.471	0-3	87	98	85
	W 56-3 Sam Houston St.	Not a DI-A Team
	W 28-10 (ns) Oklahoma	9-2	7-2	3-2	53-52	.505	30-43	.411	1-2	23	20	23
	W 63-31 Baylor	3-8	3-6	1-5	55-48	.534	34-37	.479	0-3	84	86	82
	W 22-20 @ Nebraska	7-3	5-3	3-2	52-39	.571	32-30	.516	0-2	34	27	37
	W 35-31 @ Texas Tech	6-5	4-4	1-4	55-47	.539	27-32	.458	0-2	53	43	53
	W 36-10 Oklahoma St.	5-5	3-4	2-4	54-41	.568	26-29	.473	1-1	60	46	58
	L 42-45 @ Kansas St.	6-5	4-5	1-4	50-51	.495	30-40	.429	1-2	49	56	52
	Virginia Tech	8-2	6-2	2-2	52-40	.565	30-34	.469	3-2	16	15	16
	Since losses to Georgia Tech and Boston College, They have defeated 8-3 Clemson and 8-2 Wake Forest, earning them a spot in Tier III.
	W 38-0 Northeastern	Not a DI-A Team
	W 35-10 @ North Carolina	1-9	1-9	0-7	58-34	.630	42-30	.583	0-6	81	101	81
	W 36-0 Duke	0-10*	0-9	0-5	53-42	.558	33-39	.458	0-5	113	156	118
	W 29-13 Cincinnati	5-5	3-5	2-4	61-31	.663	40-22	.645	1-4	32	36	33
	L 27-38 Georgia Tech	8-2	7-2	2-2	47-45	.511	30-38	.441	2-2	17	26	19
	L 3-22 @ Boston College	8-2	5-2	3-1	55-39	.585	27-30	.474	4-1	18	18	17
	W 36-6 Southern Miss	6-4	1-2	1-3	44-50	.468	18-21	.462	0-2	51	59	49
	W 24-7 Clemson	8-3	5-3	2-3	51-51	.500	34-35	.493	2-3	25	19	26
	W 17-10 @ Miami (FL)	4-6	2-6	1-4	46-47	.495	28-36	.438	0-4	69	63	66
	W 23-0 Kent St.	6-5	0-2	0-1	34-71	.324	13-33	.283	0-2	90	107	90
	W 27-6 @ Wake Forest	8-2	8-2	1-2	40-52	.435	25-48	.342	1-2	22	29	24
	Wisconsin	10-1	7-1	2-1	52-56	.481	31-38	.449	3-1	8	13	8
	Their only loss is to Michigan, but their only win over teams with a winning record is 7-4 Penn St. and 7-4 Purdue. Beating sub-.500 teams does not get you into Tier II.
	W 35-14 (ns) Bowling Green	4-7	0-2	0-2	45-63	.417	19-28	.404	0-2	107	129	107
	W 34-10 Western Illinois	Not a DI-A Team
	W 14-0 San Diego St.	2-7*	0-1	0-3	45-39	.536	10-11	.476	0-2	106	120	106
	L 13-27 @ Michigan	11-1	9-1	3-1	75-46	.620	44-41	.518	4-1	2	3	2
	W 52-17 @ Indiana	5-6*	3-6	0-4	63-47	.573	38-40	.487	0-5	55	77	55
	W 41-9 Northwestern	4-7*	2-6	0-6	60-52	.536	37-36	.507	0-5	77	85	79
	W 48-12 Minnesota	5-6	3-6	0-6	69-44	.611	46-35	.568	0-6	36	33	33
	W 24-3 @ Purdue	7-4	5-4	0-3	52-57	.477	30-47	.390	1-3	38	47	38
	W 30-24 Illinois	1-10	1-9	0-5	63-46	.578	37-44	.457	0-5	94	99	95
	W 13-3 Penn St.	7-4	5-4	1-4	66-48	.579	43-36	.544	2-4	20	23	17
	W 24-21 @ Iowa	5-6	4-6	1-3	61-50	.550	37-45	.451	1-4	45	42	45
	W 35-3 Buffalo	2-8	0-3	0-3	52-46	.531	21-23	.477	0-3	111	145	111

Dropped Teams:

Rutgers - How do you go from being in Tier I to being out of the Conversation? Lose to 5-5 Cincinnati, that's how.
Wake Forest - Their Boston College win is not enough to offset their second loss of the season.
West Virginia - Their only good win getting blown out does not help WVU resume.

Friday, November 24, 2006 | 9 comments |

youmaybewrong Week 12 Picks by Tom

Well, there were three or four really interesting games this week, and consequently there were definatelty some snoozers among the featured games. Not suprisingly, only four games stirred up any interest: Michigan/Ohio St. (61% Michigan), VA Tech/Wake Forest (59% Wake), Maryland/Boston College (64% BC), and Cal/USC (78% Southern Cal).

A few upsets sprinkled here and there, but not too many. Personally I think Cincinnati and W. Michigan could get something going, but after last week, there is no way I am going to be calling it out.

The three of us do have a long-shot bet in on the outcome of the Michgan/Ohio St. game. We'll be in our bomb shelter watching to see if it pans out.

Brian	Dan	Tom	you
West Virginia	West Virginia	West Virginia	West Virginia (93%)
Auburn	Auburn	Auburn	Auburn (91%)
Maryland	Boston College	Boston College	Boston College (65%)
Rutgers	Rutgers	Rutgers	Rutgers (93%)
Florida St.	Florida St.	Florida St.	Florida St. (96%)
Ohio St.	Michigan	Ohio St.	Michigan (61%)
Louisville	Louisville	Louisville	Louisville (96%)
Southern Cal	Southern Cal	Southern Cal	Southern Cal (78%)
Oregon	Oregon	Oregon	Oregon (90%)
Virginia Tech	Wake Forest	Wake Forest	Wake Forest (59%)
	Harvard	Yale	Harvard (56%)

For the record, Brian and I have Ohio St., and Dan has Michigan should our other prediction fall through.

Update:

Damn.

Another tough week to pick. The best record was 8-2 turned in by eleven different entrants. This is not suprising given that only nine people had Oregon losing to Arizona, and only six had Cincinnati upsetting Rutgers. Do I get bonus points for hunches? NO!

Two new leaders this week as newcomers "IrishMark" and "LeftCoaster" premier with .767 records. "anohioirish" is close behind at .764. I also retook the lead from Dan in the Bloggers Division, as his 6-5 week (with the incorrect pick of Harvard) dropped him back behind Brian and Kanka in fourth place.

Close for next week will be Friday at noon ET right before the kick of the Texas/Texas A&M game.

Current Standings

Thursday, November 16, 2006 | 17 comments |

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